Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Willem II badgeWillem IIvsExcelsior badgeExcelsior

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
42.2%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
2.37

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Excelsior Win

Match Winner · best price 2.37

MediumEdge +17.5%
Our model59.7%
The market42.2%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Willem II badge

Willem II

Attack35
Defence47
Form38
Excelsior badge

Excelsior

Attack78
Defence81
Form88

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.0%
Our model80.4%
The market70.4%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Excelsior (DNB)

Edge +20.2%Correct
Our model75.4%
The market55.2%
Edge
+20.2
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Excelsior Win

Edge +17.5%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market42.2%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
2.37

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.69

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market62.7%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.