Willem IIvs
Excelsior
0 - 3Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 42.2%
- Edge
- +17.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.37
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectExcelsior Win
Match Winner · best price 2.37
The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Willem II
Excelsior
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 1.42
Draw No Bet
Excelsior (DNB)
- Edge
- +20.2
- Odds
- 1.81
Match Winner
Excelsior Win
- Edge
- +17.5
- Odds
- 2.37
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.69
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -9.4
- Odds
- 1.53
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.