Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 20 May 2026AI PICK

Willem II badgeWillem IIvsFC Volendam badgeFC Volendam

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.9%
Market said
47.8%
Edge
+22.1 pts
Best odds
2.09

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Willem II Win

Match Winner · best price 2.09

MediumEdge +22.1%
Our model69.9%
The market47.8%

The market underrated this by 22.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Willem II badge

Willem II

Attack54
Defence100
Form78
FC Volendam badge

FC Volendam

Attack29
Defence57
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Willem II Win

Edge +22.1%Miss
Our model69.9%
The market47.8%
Edge
+22.1
Odds
2.09

Draw No Bet

Willem II (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.2%Close
Our model59.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+14.2
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model59.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.