Championship badgeChampionship · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Wolves badgeWolvesvsStoke City badgeStoke City

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
56.1%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model61.3%
The market56.1%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Wolves badge

Wolves

Attack74
Defence100
Form79
Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack35
Defence63
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model82.3%
The market90.9%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Wolves (DNB)

Correct
Our model76.3%
The market80.6%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market56.1%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Wolves Win

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market67.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market53.2%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.81

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.8%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.