Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Workington badgeWorkingtonvsRedcar Athletic badgeRedcar Athletic

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model54.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Workington (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Workington Win

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.