Workingtonvs
Rylands
3 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 54.9%
- Edge
- +3.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.82
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82
The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Workington
Rylands
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 1.41
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.82
Draw No Bet
Workington (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 2.02
Match Winner
Workington Win
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 2.38
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 3.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
21.8%
0-1
16.5%
1-1
14.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.