Wrexhamvs
Burnley
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Wrexham
Burnley
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.34
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Wrexham (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.2
- Odds
- 2.11
Match Winner
Wrexham Win
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 2.18
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.