Serie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK
XV de Piracicabavs
América RJ
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.1%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +12.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.22
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.7
- Odds
- 2.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
XV de Piracicaba Win
- Edge
- -18.0
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
XV de Piracicaba (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.08
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.