Serie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK
XV de Piracicabavs
Noroeste
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.9%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +18.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +18.5
- Odds
- 2.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.7
- Odds
- 2.38
Match Winner
XV de Piracicaba Win
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
XV de Piracicaba (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.7% · actual
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.