League One badgeLeague One · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Yanbian Longding badgeYanbian LongdingvsHeilongjiang Lava Spring badgeHeilongjiang Lava Spring

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +7.6%
Our model53.1%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Yanbian Longding badge

Yanbian Longding

Attack46
Defence69
Form46
Heilongjiang Lava Spring badge

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Attack61
Defence37
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Heilongjiang Lava Spring (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model36.4%
The market26.3%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
3.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

2-1

7.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.