Persha Liga badgePersha Liga · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Yarud Mariupol' badgeYarud Mariupol'vsKolos Kovalivka II badgeKolos Kovalivka II

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.4%
Our model60.0%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Yarud Mariupol' badge

Yarud Mariupol'

Attack32
Defence42
Form24
Kolos Kovalivka II badge

Kolos Kovalivka II

Attack16
Defence33
Form14

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Yarud Mariupol' (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Yarud Mariupol' Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model23.3%
The market26.7%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

23.3%

0-0

28.5%

1-1

11.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.