UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Yelimay Semey badgeYelimay SemeyvsAlashkert badgeAlashkert

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Yelimay Semey badge

Yelimay Semey

Attack45
Defence55
Form45
Alashkert badge

Alashkert

Attack44
Defence62
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Yelimay Semey (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Close
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.91

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market80.0%
Edge
-28.3
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Yelimay Semey Win

Miss
Our model41.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
-23.6
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4% · actual

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.