League Two badgeLeague Two · 29 August 2026AI PICK

York badgeYorkvsExeter City badgeExeter City

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

York badge

York

Attack62
Defence25
Form33
Exeter City badge

Exeter City

Attack36
Defence61
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.4%
The market86.2%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

York (DNB)

Correct
Our model71.8%
The market73.0%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.97

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Close
Our model53.8%
The market49.3%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.96

Match Winner

York Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market59.5%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.68

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.