Serie C badgeSerie C · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Ypiranga-RS badgeYpiranga-RSvsFerroviária badgeFerroviária

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +3.8%
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ypiranga-RS badge

Ypiranga-RS

Attack61
Defence43
Form47
Ferroviária badge

Ferroviária

Attack53
Defence95
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Ypiranga-RS (DNB)

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model59.2%
The market58.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market44.4%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Ypiranga-RS Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.