Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Zamora badgeZamoravsCacereño badgeCacereño

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Zamora Win

Match Winner · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model61.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Zamora badge

Zamora

Attack63
Defence65
Form67
Cacereño badge

Cacereño

Attack55
Defence50
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Zamora Win

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model61.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Zamora (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.1%
The market8.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.1%

1-1

9.4%

2-1

9.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.