Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Zaragoza badgeZaragozavsSporting Gijon badgeSporting Gijon

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +10.8%
Our model62.1%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Zaragoza badge

Zaragoza

Attack30
Defence62
Form29
Sporting Gijon badge

Sporting Gijon

Attack48
Defence52
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Zaragoza Win

Our model50.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Zaragoza (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model16.3%
The market14.2%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.3%

1-0

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.