Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Zwaluwen badgeZwaluwenvsBlauw Geel badgeBlauw Geel

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +14.5%
Our model67.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Zwaluwen badge

Zwaluwen

Attack61
Defence73
Form60
Blauw Geel badge

Blauw Geel

Attack41
Defence62
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model67.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model63.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Zwaluwen Win

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Zwaluwen (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%Close
Our model9.5%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-0

7.9%

1-1

7.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.