Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Zwaluwen badgeZwaluwenvsTOGB badgeTOGB

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.3%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +5.6%
Our model72.3%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Zwaluwen badge

Zwaluwen

Attack59
Defence68
Form62
TOGB badge

TOGB

Attack51
Defence53
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model72.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model67.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Zwaluwen Win

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Zwaluwen (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.71

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.